Estimating Numbers of Orphans and Vulnerable Children – A Test of Regression Modeling
This study expands on an earlier study that reported a tight linear fit between national adult HIV prevalence and the percentage of children living in a household with at least one HIV-positive adult. The authors extended this analysis to all existing DHS data sets with HIV testing, to determine the feasibility of using regression modeling to estimate the size of two priority groups: (1) children living with at least one adult who is HIV-positive, and (2) orphans and coresident children living with at least one adult who is HIV-positive.


